Saturn-2 vs Zenit Penza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saturn-2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
DYT
0 - 1
KOS
23%
28%
50%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
LKA
2 - 0
KOS
55%
25%
20%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2003 |
KOS
1 - 0
FCM
24%
29%
48%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2003 |
KOS
1 - 0
TOR
41%
29%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2003 |
AVA
0 - 0
KOS
59%
24%
18%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
ZEN
0 - 1
DIN
48%
25%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
ZEN
3 - 1
ORE
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2003 |
BIM
0 - 2
ZEN
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2003 |
DYT
0 - 1
ZEN
17%
22%
60%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
LKA
0 - 1
ZEN
42%
25%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |