Sassari Torres vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
30.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sassari Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 1
SAS
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
SAS
0 - 1
FRO
24%
26%
51%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
FIA
1 - 1
SAS
47%
28%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
SAS
1 - 1
ACI
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
SPE
2 - 1
SAS
58%
25%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ASL
1 - 2
PAV
42%
28%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
ASL
1 - 2
USC
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ACP
1 - 1
ASL
33%
28%
40%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
ASL
1 - 1
FIA
46%
29%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
ACI
0 - 1
ASL
36%
30%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |