Sassari Torres vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
26.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sassari Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
ASL
3 - 0
SAS
51%
28%
21%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
SAS
0 - 0
PAD
38%
29%
33%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
ACL
0 - 0
SAS
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 0
SAS
67%
20%
12%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SAS
1 - 0
CES
27%
29%
44%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 1
ACP
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ARZ
0 - 0
VAR
62%
23%
16%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 1
SPE
32%
29%
39%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CES
2 - 2
VAR
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 2
PRO
39%
28%
33%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |