Épinal vs Strasbourg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SPI
3 - 1
BRC
18%
25%
57%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 4
SPI
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
FCM
2 - 1
SPI
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
SPI
1 - 3
COL
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -2 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
BEL
4 - 1
SPI
33%
25%
41%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Strasbourg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
STR
1 - 1
MAR
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
STR
0 - 0
FCM
31%
27%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
COL
3 - 0
STR
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
STR
2 - 0
NAN
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
BRC
3 - 2
STR
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |