Épinal vs Perpignan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
AMI
1 - 0
SPI
63%
22%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
SPI
2 - 1
CSL
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
ANG
1 - 1
SPI
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1995 |
CHA
3 - 0
SPI
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
SPI
3 - 3
LMU
43%
27%
31%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Perpignan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
PER
0 - 1
LMU
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
SOC
4 - 4
PER
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
PER
0 - 0
CHA
53%
26%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1995 |
VAL
4 - 0
PER
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
PER
1 - 0
NIO
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |