Épinal vs Luçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
48.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
CON
4 - 2
SPI
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 1
SPI
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
SPI
2 - 1
COL
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
SPI
2 - 1
AMI
22%
25%
53%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
FRE
0 - 0
SPI
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
LUC
2 - 1
FRE
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
SED
2 - 0
LUC
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
LUC
1 - 1
BEZ
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
ORL
1 - 1
LUC
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 1
DUN
51%
25%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |