Épinal vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
77%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
IRI
2 - 1
SPI
16%
22%
62%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
SPI
1 - 0
PIE
31%
24%
44%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
SPI
0 - 0
OLY
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 1
SPI
39%
26%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
FCM
2 - 3
SPI
27%
26%
48%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LIL
0 - 2
PSG
15%
19%
66%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
LYO
2 - 2
LIL
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
GON
0 - 2
LIL
4%
14%
82%
|
83 | 24 | 59 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
DIJ
1 - 0
LIL
28%
27%
45%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
LIL
2 - 0
AMI
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |