Épinal vs US Fleury-Merogis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
14º
1º
55
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
91% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 91% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SPI
3 - 0
FUR
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 1
SPI
30%
26%
45%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
SPI
3 - 1
OLY
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SPI
1 - 4
BOB
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SPI
4 - 1
MET
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FLE
3 - 1
FCS
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FUR
0 - 0
FLE
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FLE
3 - 0
STG
60%
24%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
FLE
1 - 0
LUS
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SML
0 - 2
FLE
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |