Épinal vs Colmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
SPI
3 - 3
AUX
60%
25%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SOC
0 - 3
SPI
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 3
SPI
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SPI
1 - 1
LYO
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
AMN
0 - 3
SPI
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Colmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2011 |
ORL
2 - 0
COL
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
COL
3 - 1
LUZ
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
LUS
0 - 2
COL
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
COL
0 - 0
UJA
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
PAC
2 - 1
COL
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |