Épinal vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 0
SPI
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
SPI
1 - 1
CAB
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 0
SPI
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
SPI
2 - 4
USB
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
QUE
1 - 1
SPI
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
AVR
0 - 1
CHA
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 1
AVR
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
AVR
3 - 3
DUN
45%
28%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
BEZ
2 - 3
AVR
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
AVR
2 - 0
CON
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |