Épinal vs Aubervilliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
12º
11º
24
11º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
FCS
2 - 0
SPI
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
BIE
1 - 2
SPI
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SPI
0 - 1
BOB
33%
26%
42%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
SPI
2 - 2
THL
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
FEI
2 - 2
SPI
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aubervilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
AUB
2 - 3
FCS
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
BOB
1 - 1
AUB
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
AUB
2 - 0
FEI
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
FLE
3 - 0
AUB
73%
19%
8%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
AUB
0 - 1
ASB
26%
27%
47%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |