C.D. Sarsfield vs Liceo de Monelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.1%
11.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
SAR
4 - 0
LIC
67%
16%
16%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ORZ
1 - 2
SAR
34%
22%
44%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
3 - 1
GAL
15%
17%
69%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +3 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
8 - 3
SAR
41%
22%
37%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 0
CDC
53%
20%
27%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Liceo de Monelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
SAR
4 - 0
LIC
67%
16%
16%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
LIC
1 - 3
ESP
30%
22%
48%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CIU
2 - 0
LIC
80%
13%
8%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LIC
1 - 5
UNI
10%
16%
73%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SCD
9 - 0
LIC
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |