C.D. Sarsfield vs Atlético dos Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAL
7 - 1
SAR
78%
14%
8%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 3
ESP
10%
16%
74%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 2
REL
55%
21%
24%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
UNI
5 - 0
SAR
69%
17%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
SAR
0 - 0
CRI
24%
22%
55%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético dos Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 3
TOR
24%
22%
54%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAS
76%
15%
9%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
OZA
1 - 1
CAS
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
DEP
26%
23%
51%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
LIC
3 - 1
CAS
47%
22%
30%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |