Sarreguemines vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
77.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarreguemines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 1
REI
3%
8%
89%
|
34 | 73 | 39 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 2
VAU
73%
15%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LUN
1 - 2
SAR
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 1
VAL
8%
15%
77%
|
32 | 64 | 32 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
MEZ
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
TOU
0 - 0
NIO
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
NIO
2 - 1
AMI
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
NIO
2 - 2
STL
53%
28%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
BLA
0 - 1
NIO
9%
18%
73%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
STR
3 - 0
NIO
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |