Sarpsborg 08 vs Mercantile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
NOT
1 - 3
S08
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
S08
3 - 1
SAR
76%
16%
9%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2005 |
ODD
0 - 3
S08
19%
22%
59%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
S08
4 - 0
GBK
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
SJE
1 - 4
S08
20%
22%
58%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Mercantile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
MFC
0 - 3
VAR
16%
19%
65%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
BAR
5 - 3
MFC
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
MFC
3 - 1
FRA
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
KVI
4 - 1
MFC
64%
18%
17%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
TOL
3 - 4
MFC
80%
12%
8%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |