Sarpsborg 08 vs Haugesund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
10º
10º
5
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 62 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 60 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 54 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 51 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 44 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 43 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 43 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 42 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 34 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 24 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
5 | 14 |
16º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
4% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
BOG
1 - 2
S08
52%
22%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
RBK
2 - 2
S08
41%
25%
35%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
S08
1 - 1
BRY
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
FFK
1 - 1
S08
35%
25%
40%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
S08
0 - 1
TRO
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Haugesund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
HAU
0 - 0
KRI
26%
26%
49%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
SDF
4 - 0
HAU
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
HAU
0 - 4
BOG
17%
23%
60%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
HAU
0 - 2
BBS
18%
22%
60%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
RBK
1 - 0
HAU
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |