Sarpsborg 08 II vs Pors Grenland II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
5º
3º
11
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 64 |
1º
|
87.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 56 |
2º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 46 |
3º
|
48.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 44 |
4º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 39 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 33 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 30 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 27 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 24 |
13º
|
35% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 19 |
14º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 94.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2025 |
LOK
0 - 0
SAR
28%
24%
49%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2025 |
SAR
3 - 1
ORN
23%
23%
54%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +3 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
FRA
3 - 0
SAR
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
SAR
2 - 0
STA
49%
21%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
SGR
1 - 2
SAR
28%
21%
51%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Pors Grenland II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
PGE
1 - 3
OPP
23%
19%
58%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
ODD
8 - 0
PGE
65%
17%
19%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
ORN
3 - 1
PGE
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
PGE
1 - 2
FRA
21%
22%
58%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
IFR
2 - 1
PGE
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |