Sarpsborg 08 II vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
65.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
10º
13º
11º
69
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
OPP
2 - 2
SAR
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SAR
5 - 0
HIS
95%
4%
1%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SKA
0 - 2
SAR
36%
21%
43%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 2
SKE
55%
19%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FLO
6 - 2
SAR
76%
13%
10%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
FOL
6 - 0
SKA
88%
8%
4%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FOL
3 - 0
FLO
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
HIS
1 - 2
FOL
5%
11%
84%
|
47 | 7 | 40 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
FOL
2 - 0
LOR
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
FOL
2 - 2
KJE
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |