Sarnese vs Monopoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+109%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SSS
0 - 1
SAR
28%
24%
47%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 1
BRI
40%
25%
36%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 2
BIS
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
FRA
0 - 1
SAR
54%
21%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SAR
0 - 1
GEL
56%
22%
23%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
SSE
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ARZ
1 - 1
MON
25%
25%
49%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
BRI
42%
25%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
POM
1 - 1
MON
19%
24%
56%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MON
3 - 1
SSS
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |