Sarnese vs Igea Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+109%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
NOC
1 - 0
SAR
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 1
PAL
62%
20%
19%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SCO
2 - 1
SAR
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
GRA
51%
22%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
NFR
4 - 1
SAR
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SIC
3 - 0
FCI
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
MON
4 - 1
FCI
76%
17%
7%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +19 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
FCI
0 - 3
SSS
19%
26%
54%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
VIC
3 - 0
FCI
68%
20%
12%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
FCI
0 - 3
RAA
27%
27%
46%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |