Sarnese vs Granata 1924 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
38.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
ROC
0 - 1
SAR
59%
22%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 1
GEL
25%
22%
54%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ASS
0 - 1
SAR
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAV
4 - 0
SAR
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 1
NFR
17%
23%
60%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
Granata 1924
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CAV
2 - 0
AEE
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 1
AEE
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |