Sarnen vs Ruswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ZUG
4 - 0
SAR
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SAR
3 - 3
GOL
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FCS
4 - 2
SAR
41%
24%
36%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SAR
0 - 1
IBA
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
HER
0 - 0
SAR
45%
23%
32%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ruswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 1
RUS
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
RUS
0 - 0
ZUG
15%
19%
66%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
GOL
4 - 1
RUS
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
RUS
1 - 1
FCS
32%
24%
44%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
IBA
2 - 3
RUS
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |