Sarnen vs Goldau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
ESC
2 - 0
SAR
23%
23%
54%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SAR
2 - 0
BAL
86%
10%
4%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
FCM
0 - 0
SAR
52%
23%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
SAR
1 - 1
AAR
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
SAR
1 - 5
LSS
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -3 |
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
GOL
2 - 1
LUZ
52%
23%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
HER
0 - 1
GOL
56%
22%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
GOL
2 - 3
FCS
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
EMM
3 - 2
GOL
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
GOL
1 - 2
IBA
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -3 |