Sarnen vs Goldau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
MAL
2 - 1
SAR
77%
15%
9%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SAR
2 - 2
FCM
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
LSS
4 - 0
SAR
34%
24%
42%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
SAR
4 - 2
KUS
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
FCS
0 - 3
SAR
59%
22%
20%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
GOL
3 - 1
ACS
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
GOL
0 - 0
IBA
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
FCS
1 - 0
GOL
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
GOL
0 - 0
LUG
18%
23%
59%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
GOL
1 - 0
SCH
51%
24%
26%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |