Sarmiento vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAR
46%
25%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2008 |
SAR
0 - 3
FLA
64%
22%
15%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
CAM
1 - 0
SAR
16%
23%
61%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
SAR
2 - 1
AND
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
CCO
0 - 2
SAR
45%
24%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
SUA
2 - 1
TEM
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
COM
3 - 0
SUA
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
SUA
1 - 4
MOR
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
ACA
1 - 2
SUA
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
SUA
3 - 1
ESP
69%
19%
13%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |