Sarmiento vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
SAR
65%
22%
13%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 0
ARG
25%
28%
47%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
TAL
2 - 0
SAR
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
TAL
1 - 0
SAR
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
SAR
0 - 2
FLA
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
PAT
1 - 0
ALD
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
GLP
2 - 0
PAT
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
PAT
1 - 1
VEL
19%
26%
55%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
PAT
2 - 0
MOR
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
DYJ
1 - 0
PAT
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |