Sarmiento vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
44.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
CAU
1 - 0
SAR
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ALD
1 - 2
SAR
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SAR
0 - 0
GLP
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 1
SAR
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 2
GOD
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
IND
3 - 0
ALD
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
GLP
3 - 1
IND
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
IND
1 - 1
VEL
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
GOD
1 - 1
IND
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
IND
1 - 1
HUR
45%
28%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |