Sarmiento vs Flandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
SAR
1 - 2
ARQ
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
SMG
0 - 1
SAR
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
SAR
3 - 0
BRO
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
CCO
2 - 1
SAR
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
SAR
2 - 1
PLA
36%
28%
37%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Flandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
FLA
0 - 2
PLA
30%
29%
41%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
ITA
0 - 0
FLA
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2002 |
FLA
0 - 0
MOR
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
LAF
1 - 1
FLA
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
FLA
1 - 0
ALB
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |