Sarmiento vs CA Estudiantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
SAR
2 - 1
MOR
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2007 |
POR
0 - 0
SAR
27%
26%
48%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
SAR
3 - 2
TAL
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 1
SAR
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
SAR
4 - 0
ALB
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
EST
2 - 1
COM
59%
23%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 2
EST
29%
28%
43%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2007 |
EST
2 - 0
ITA
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
BRO
2 - 2
EST
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
EST
2 - 2
AND
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |