Sarmiento vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 1
SAR
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
SAR
2 - 1
TEM
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
EST
1 - 1
SAR
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SAR
3 - 1
CCO
70%
19%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 3
SAR
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 1
SAR
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 1
DEF
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 2
DEF
54%
26%
21%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 0
STM
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
BRO
2 - 0
DEF
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |