Sarm. Resistencia vs Def. de Pronunciamiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarm. Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 0
SAR
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 1
CEN
44%
29%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
DFR
0 - 1
SAR
17%
26%
57%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
SAR
2 - 1
DHA
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
SPB
1 - 0
SAR
24%
27%
49%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
DPR
0 - 2
SPB
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RAC
1 - 0
DPR
72%
19%
9%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
DPR
3 - 0
GIM
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 0
DPR
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
DPR
1 - 2
BUC
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |