Sarm. Resistencia vs Américo Tesorieri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarm. Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
VSR
3 - 1
SAR
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SAR
3 - 0
AND
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CON
3 - 0
SAR
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 1
SPA
34%
27%
39%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
TEX
1 - 1
SAR
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Américo Tesorieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
AMT
2 - 3
LIB
17%
22%
61%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
GIM
2 - 2
AMT
82%
13%
5%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
AMT
0 - 3
SLO
18%
21%
61%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SJO
5 - 2
AMT
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
AMT
2 - 1
VSR
32%
24%
45%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |