Tercera Division Round 8

Sariñena vs UD Fraga analysis

Sariñena UD Fraga
24 ELO 23
-19% Tilt -3.7%
12668º General ELO ranking 8200º
1822º Country ELO ranking 395º
ELO win probability
44.2%
Sariñena
28.2%
Draw
27.7%
UD Fraga

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
Sariñena
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
27.7%
Win probability
UD Fraga
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sariñena
-31%
-21%
UD Fraga

ELO progression

Sariñena
UD Fraga
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sariñena
Sariñena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2007
ICF
Illueca
2 - 3
Sariñena
SAR
41%
27%
32%
23 21 2 0
26 Sep. 2007
SAR
Sariñena
0 - 2
Villanueva CF
VIL
32%
28%
40%
25 28 3 -2
23 Sep. 2007
EJE
Ejea
3 - 2
Sariñena
SAR
71%
18%
11%
25 35 10 0
16 Sep. 2007
SAR
Sariñena
2 - 1
CD San Lorenzo
CDS
75%
17%
8%
25 10 15 0
09 Sep. 2007
TER
CD Teruel
3 - 0
Sariñena
SAR
66%
21%
14%
25 32 7 0

Matches

UD Fraga
UD Fraga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2007
FRA
UD Fraga
2 - 0
Jacetano
CFJ
52%
24%
24%
23 22 1 0
26 Sep. 2007
UFC
Utebo
2 - 1
UD Fraga
FRA
73%
17%
10%
23 33 10 0
16 Sep. 2007
PEN
Peñas Oscenses
1 - 0
UD Fraga
FRA
40%
26%
35%
24 21 3 -1
09 Sep. 2007
FRA
UD Fraga
1 - 0
CD Ebro
CDE
47%
26%
27%
23 25 2 +1
02 Sep. 2007
FRA
UD Fraga
0 - 1
Deportivo Aragón
ZAR
15%
23%
62%
24 48 24 -1