USM Saran vs Étoile Bleue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
4.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Saran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ORL
2 - 1
SAR
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SAR
1 - 0
TOU
9%
17%
74%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
MON
1 - 3
SAR
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SAR
1 - 1
MON
64%
18%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
EBL
0 - 1
SAR
13%
17%
71%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Étoile Bleue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
TOU
1 - 0
EBL
92%
7%
2%
|
12 | 53 | 41 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CSL
4 - 1
EBL
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
EBL
0 - 1
MON
15%
18%
68%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
MON
0 - 1
EBL
82%
11%
6%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
EBL
0 - 4
AVO
13%
18%
69%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |