Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 9-6
Sarajevo vs Hibernians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
SAR
2 - 2
BBL
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
ZVI
2 - 0
SAR
32%
28%
41%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SAR
2 - 2
ZEL
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
OSA
1 - 0
SAR
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SAR
2 - 0
ZRI
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
QOR
1 - 3
HIB
19%
20%
61%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
HIB
2 - 1
HAM
83%
11%
6%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
HIB
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
HIB
3 - 0
BAL
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BIR
2 - 0
HIB
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |