Sarajevo vs FK Tuzla City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
3º
10º
4º
27
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 78 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 73 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 59 |
3º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 58 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
87.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
83% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
7º
|
73.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
42.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
58% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
11º
|
94.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
27.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
72.5% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 94.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
POS
0 - 1
SAR
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
BBL
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SLO
3 - 0
SAR
18%
24%
58%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
IGM
1 - 2
SAR
12%
22%
65%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
BBL
1 - 1
SAR
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tuzla City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ZRI
3 - 1
SLO
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 2
GOS
62%
21%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 1
VEL
33%
27%
39%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
TEK
0 - 1
SLO
5%
13%
83%
|
64 | 32 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ZBE
1 - 1
SLO
18%
23%
59%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |