Sarajevo vs FK Tuzla City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
10º
4º
27
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
POS
0 - 1
SAR
22%
25%
53%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
BBL
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SLO
3 - 0
SAR
18%
24%
58%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
IGM
1 - 2
SAR
12%
22%
65%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
BBL
1 - 1
SAR
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FK Tuzla City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ZRI
3 - 1
SLO
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 2
GOS
62%
21%
16%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 1
VEL
33%
27%
39%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
TEK
0 - 1
SLO
5%
13%
83%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ZBE
1 - 1
SLO
18%
23%
59%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |