SAP vs Willikies analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ALL
1 - 1
SAP
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
SAP
6 - 1
PTI
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
SAP
5 - 1
WIL
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SAP
2 - 1
GRE
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
HOP
0 - 0
SAP
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Willikies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
PTI
1 - 1
WIL
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 1
WIL
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
SAP
5 - 1
WIL
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
WIL
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 0
ALL
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |