SAP vs Empire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
SAP
2 - 2
HOP
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
FRE
0 - 4
SAP
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2008 |
SAP
2 - 1
LIB
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
SAP
0 - 0
VLI
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 0
SAP
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Empire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 0
EGF
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
EGF
1 - 2
ALL
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2008 |
PAR
2 - 1
EGF
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
EGF
1 - 0
HOP
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2007 |
LIB
2 - 2
EGF
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |