SAP vs Bassa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SAP
4 - 1
SEA
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
SAP
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SAP
3 - 1
GOL
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SAP
1 - 1
HOP
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAP
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bassa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 0
BAS
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 0
SEA
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ALL
2 - 1
BAS
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ORO
2 - 1
BAS
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 0
GOL
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |