São Silvestre vs Os Águias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
64.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Silvestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GOI
0 - 1
SSI
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SSI
1 - 1
POI
22%
22%
56%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 0
SSI
57%
21%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SSI
3 - 2
MOC
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MOI
1 - 0
SSI
65%
19%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Os Águias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 0
MOI
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ADE
0 - 1
AGU
15%
19%
66%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 0
VRA
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 2
AGU
14%
19%
68%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SEP
0 - 4
AGU
13%
18%
68%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | +1 |