São Paulo RS vs União RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAO
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 0
FAR
66%
20%
15%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
GFC
2 - 0
SAO
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 2
ECA
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ECA
3 - 0
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 3
URS
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
URS
0 - 1
ECA
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
JAC
3 - 2
URS
52%
22%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
URS
3 - 2
SSR
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
URS
2 - 2
PAS
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |