São Paulo RS vs Grêmio B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
65%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
AIM
8 - 0
SAO
59%
23%
18%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 2
GAU
32%
26%
42%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
5 - 0
SAO
15%
18%
68%
|
36 | 10 | 26 | -4 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 1
JUV
40%
23%
38%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
YPI
6 - 1
SAO
89%
9%
2%
|
37 | 72 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 3
GAU
58%
22%
21%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ECS
1 - 0
GRE
65%
20%
16%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 1
GRE
11%
17%
73%
|
51 | 17 | 34 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
JUV
61%
20%
19%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
YPI
0 - 1
GRE
74%
16%
11%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +1 |