São Paulo RS vs Gaúcho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
5 - 0
SAO
16%
19%
66%
|
36 | 10 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 1
JUV
41%
23%
37%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 1
SAO
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
CRU
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FBC
1 - 0
SAO
14%
18%
67%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | -2 |
Matches
Gaúcho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
GAU
0 - 0
SPO
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 9 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
GAU
0 - 2
ESP
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
VER
1 - 2
GAU
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
GAU
1 - 2
URS
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
PAS
1 - 0
GAU
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |