Gaucho 2 . Semi-finals
Global 3-1
São Paulo RS vs Brasil Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2007 |
SAO
6 - 1
FAR
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
FAR
2 - 1
SAO
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
FAR
0 - 0
SAO
26%
23%
51%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
SAO
3 - 0
ECJ
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
PEL
4 - 3
SAO
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Brasil Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2007 |
AEG
0 - 1
BRA
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
BRA
4 - 1
AEG
71%
16%
13%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
CRU
2 - 1
BRA
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 2
SAP
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
POR
2 - 0
BRA
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |