Serie A Betano First stage Round 17

São Paulo vs Vitória analysis

São Paulo Vitória
83 ELO 76
5.3% Tilt -3.6%
142º General ELO ranking 188º
16º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
65.3%
São Paulo
19.9%
Draw
14.8%
Vitória

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
São Paulo
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.8%
Win probability
Vitória
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
São Paulo
+2%
-8%
Vitória

ELO progression

São Paulo
Vitória
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

São Paulo
São Paulo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 1997
SAN
Santos FC
2 - 1
São Paulo
SAO
53%
23%
23%
83 81 2 0
13 Sep. 1997
SAO
São Paulo
2 - 2
Botafogo
BOT
62%
22%
17%
83 79 4 0
11 Sep. 1997
POR
Portuguesa
2 - 1
São Paulo
SAO
51%
25%
25%
83 83 0 0
07 Sep. 1997
SAO
São Paulo
0 - 2
Palmeiras
PAL
42%
26%
32%
83 87 4 0
03 Sep. 1997
SAO
São Paulo
5 - 1
Vélez Sarsfield
VEL
53%
24%
23%
83 84 1 0

Matches

Vitória
Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 1997
VIT
Vitória
2 - 0
RB Bragantino
BRA
49%
24%
27%
76 77 1 0
14 Sep. 1997
VIT
Vitória
4 - 2
Vasco da Gama
VAS
41%
25%
35%
75 79 4 +1
11 Sep. 1997
COR
Corinthians
3 - 1
Vitória
VIT
63%
22%
16%
75 82 7 0
07 Sep. 1997
GUA
Guaraní
3 - 3
Vitória
VIT
61%
21%
18%
75 80 5 0
31 Aug. 1997
VIT
Vitória
1 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
32%
26%
43%
75 83 8 0