Copa Paulista 2nd Round Round 1

São Paulo vs São Caetano analysis

São Paulo São Caetano
79 ELO 64
-7.5% Tilt -10.9%
142º General ELO ranking 5527º
16º Country ELO ranking 193º
ELO win probability
68.7%
São Paulo
20%
Draw
11.2%
São Caetano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
São Paulo
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.2%
Win probability
São Caetano
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
São Paulo
+8%
+14%
São Caetano

ELO progression

São Paulo
São Caetano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

São Paulo
São Paulo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2016
VIT
Vitória
2 - 0
São Paulo
SAO
45%
26%
29%
79 74 5 0
23 Sep. 2016
JUV
EC Juventude
0 - 1
São Paulo
SAO
22%
25%
53%
78 65 13 +1
18 Sep. 2016
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
1 - 0
São Paulo
SAO
47%
27%
26%
79 79 0 -1
18 Sep. 2016
SAO
São Paulo
4 - 0
CA Juventus
JUV
81%
15%
5%
78 51 27 +1
16 Sep. 2016
SAO
São Paulo
1 - 0
Cruzeiro
CRZ
32%
27%
42%
78 84 6 0

Matches

São Caetano
São Caetano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2016
SAO
São Caetano
3 - 1
Santos FC
SAN
14%
24%
62%
62 87 25 0
07 Sep. 2016
AGU
Água Santa
1 - 0
São Caetano
SAO
36%
23%
40%
63 59 4 -1
04 Sep. 2016
FLA
Flamengo SP
0 - 4
São Caetano
SAO
21%
25%
54%
62 50 12 +1
28 Aug. 2016
SAO
São Caetano
1 - 0
Nacional SP
NAC
57%
24%
19%
62 54 8 0
21 Aug. 2016
SAO
São Caetano
3 - 0
CA Joseense
SJS
71%
19%
10%
62 45 17 0