São Paulo vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
6.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 1
BOT
77%
17%
6%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 0
MAN
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MIR
0 - 3
SAO
19%
25%
57%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 1
PAL
29%
28%
43%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
COR
53%
26%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
GUA
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
INT
2 - 1
SAO
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 1
MIR
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
44%
26%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
ITU
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |