São Paulo vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.8%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
14.6%
3-0
16.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.1%
2.1%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
MIR
1 - 1
SAO
6%
16%
78%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 3
POR
63%
23%
14%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
SAO
4 - 0
SPO
58%
24%
18%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
GOI
4 - 2
SAO
39%
26%
36%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
BOT
3 - 2
SAO
38%
26%
36%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
PAU
2 - 1
RIO
59%
22%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 3
BOT
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 2
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
3 - 0
RIO
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 0
RIO
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |