Copa do Brasil . Last 16
Global 3-2
São Paulo vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2012 |
PPE
1 - 0
SAO
25%
24%
51%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 3
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 1
BRA
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LIN
2 - 1
SAO
11%
17%
72%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 5
SAO
8%
16%
77%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2012 |
PPE
1 - 0
SAO
25%
24%
51%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
PPE
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
COR
2 - 3
PPE
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
PPE
2 - 1
ATL
36%
24%
39%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PPE
1 - 2
COR
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |