São Paulo vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 2
PAL
47%
26%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
27%
25%
48%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
AMF
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
COT
1 - 1
SAO
23%
25%
52%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 1
SAO
17%
24%
60%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 2
PAL
47%
26%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
PAL
4 - 2
ATL
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
COT
0 - 2
PAL
26%
27%
47%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
PAL
4 - 0
BOT
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
PAL
0 - 0
ATM
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |